Has Woodcroft found chemistry in Oilers lines this week? A deep dive

Oct 14, 2023; Edmonton, Alberta, CAN; The Edmonton Oilers celebrate a goal scored by forward Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (93) during the second period against the Vancouver Canucks at Rogers Place. Mandatory Credit: Perry Nelson-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 14, 2023; Edmonton, Alberta, CAN; The Edmonton Oilers celebrate a goal scored by forward Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (93) during the second period against the Vancouver Canucks at Rogers Place. Mandatory Credit: Perry Nelson-USA TODAY Sports /
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Edmonton Oilers Evan Bouchard
Apr 29, 2023; Los Angeles, California, USA; Edmonton Oilers center Connor McDavid (97) celebrates his goal scored against the Los Angeles Kings with defenseman Mattias Ekholm (14) and defenseman Evan Bouchard (2) during the first period in game six of the first round of the 2023 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Crypto.com Arena. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports /

One step forward, one step back for Oilers defence

On defence, Bouchard made some early gaffs in Nashville (as we’ve seen from him recently), but followed them up with some great plays with traffic in front, that resulted in fortunate bounces:

Note in the above clip, we see Philip Broberg on his natural side connecting to Bouchard to begin the sequence. That’s a pairing you want to see a lot more of this season. They posted excellent results last season, including a decent 51.4 GF%, a dominant 59.5 xGF%, and a reassuringly low PDO of 0.979:

Their very low PDO suggested their on-ice goal share could very well have been as dominant as their expected goal share. That’s very promising for such an inexperienced second line, and hopefully we see more of it soon.

As the game in Nashville wore on, Bouchard began to excellently drove play, finishing with a team-leading 66 xGF% and 39 xGF% Rel at even strength. He made several passes of high quality, something he does each game regardless of any other errors made.

Bouchard was not so good in Philadelphia, making an awful giveaway when pressured alone in his own zone. On two different plays, Bouchard and Ekholm failed to make the right reads, and neither was prepared to pick up the slack on rush goals against.

Note that other players, such as McDavid on the PP and Foegele from Kulak at 5v5, made uncharacteristically “lazy” giveaways as well. The team can and has to clean these up:

Still, it must be acknowledged that Bouchard has four assists in four games this season. He is 9-31-40 in 37 games (!) since the arrival of Ekholm, including an outstanding playoffs from them as one of the league’s top pairings to end the season. Give us more, lots more, of Bouchard with the top guns, as his breakout passing – and that of Ekholm – are what is going to help get the Oilers out of this offensive lull.

In fact, I’m going to go ahead and predict Bouchard posts a point-per-game this season and makes a serious case for Norris consideration… unless he and his partner play down from their potential.