Edmonton Oilers: Should Peter Chiarelli Take Notes From The Coyotes?

SUNRISE, FL - JUNE 26: Edmonton Oilers General Manager Peter Chiarelli addresses the audience as NHL Commissioner Gary Bettman and Oilers head coach Todd McClellan look on during Round One of the 2015 NHL Draft at BB
SUNRISE, FL - JUNE 26: Edmonton Oilers General Manager Peter Chiarelli addresses the audience as NHL Commissioner Gary Bettman and Oilers head coach Todd McClellan look on during Round One of the 2015 NHL Draft at BB /
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Edmonton Oilers
EDMONTON, AB – OCTOBER 30: Ryan Strome #18 of the Edmonton Oilers skates during the game against the Minnesota Wild on October 30, 2018 at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada. (Photo by Andy Devlin/NHLI via Getty Images) /

Draft Busts

Let’s see if you remember hearing any of these highly touted top 10 picks on draft day from

2009 to 2016 that have so far failed to live up to their hype:

2010: Brett Connolly (TB), Alex Burmistrov (ATL), Dylan McIlrath (NYR),

2011: Ryan Strome (NYI)

2012: Nail Yakupov (EDM) Ryan Murray (CBJ), Griffin Reinhart (NYI), Derrick Pouliot (PIT),  Slater Koekkek (TB)

2013: No real considerable busts in the top 10, but 9 in the next 20 picks. Curtis Lazar by Ottawa stands out. Calgary had three first round picks in this draft, striking out on two of them.

2014: Michael Dal Colle (NYI), *Jake Virtanen (VAN), *Haydn Fleury (CAR)

2015: *Dylan Strome (ARI)

2016: *Jesse Puljujarvi (EDM), *Olli Juolevi (VAN)

* players who still have a chance of reaching their draft day potential, all-be-it a less likely one.

Courtesy of http://www.hockey-reference.com

Almost every draft year has them. This is only a small sample size of players who were never able to fulfill what franchises expect to be getting in a player they put the faith of selecting with their top draft choice. Now some of these players are still going to put together solid NHL careers. Some still even have a chance of living up to these expectations.

However, almost all of these players were at one point high profile prospects that would carry significant value in a trade the first 2-3 years after they were drafted. And some were held onto until their value diminished and are now either playing in a support role, are out of the league, or were traded for a bag of pucks.

Using data provided from Scott Cullens Statistically Speaking article he wrote in June 2017, I calculated that an average of only 53.86 percent of top 10 picks have turned into top 6 forwards or top 4 D between 1990-2013 per draft year. With an average of just 61.0 percent of all first round picks in the same time frame managing to play over 100 games in the big leagues.