Oilers Stats Projections: David Perron

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Dobber’s Goal Projection: 22

Oil on Whyte Ruling: Under

Given the fact that Perron has never scored more than 21 goals in a season and has only hit the 20-goal plateau twice in six years (including 2010-11 that saw him play in only 10 games), it’s hard to say this will be Perron’s career year.  Yes it is a fresh start in Edmonton but he still has to put the puck in the net.

Loaded with natural talent of a pure goal scorer, Perron will excel with this new linemates of Eberle and whoever his centre will be.  But to the tune of 22 times?  Not likely.

A new environment can take some getting used to and it’s easy to say that judging by his pre-season he’s adapted quite nicely. Again, the exhibition slate is a lot softer than the real thing that begins next Tuesday and Perron will have to elevate his play even higher if he wishes to surpass his career high in goals.

Last season the Oilers were near the bottom of the league when comparing five-on-five goal ratios.  Will that change this season?  Perron could be a proponent of that, but then again, over the course of his career, roughly 25% of his goals have came with the man advantage.

I still think Perron will score 20-goals this season for the Oilers, providing them with them some much needed secondary scoring.  I just don’t think it’ll be higher than 22.  Truth be told, I’m taking the under and sticking right at 20.  

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