Oilers Stats Projections: Ales Hemsky

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Point Projection: 41

Oil on Whyte Ruling: Under

A similar argument could be made when looking at the 41 points that Dobber has slated for Hemsky this season.  The last time he hit the 40-point plateau was during the 10-11 campaign in which he only dressed in 47 games.  That was the old Hemsky, back when he was still one of the leaders on the team.

Times has dramatically changed the Oilers roster in three years and the savvy veteran is no longer considered one of the team’s offensive leaders.  This team’s identity belongs to Taylor Hall, accompanied by Jordan Eberle and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leaving Hemsky in a supporting role.  A role that could mean less ice-time which in turn could result in less points.

Granted all these projections are based upon the speculation that everyone stays healthy and Hemsky is playing on the third line.  That’s at least where I see him suiting up for the majority of his game this season in Edmonton and who knows, if his production is lacking, maybe he becomes a trade chip yet again by the deadline.  The same could be said if he starts the year off on a bang and increases his trade value, forcing Craig MacTavish to deal him to a team in need of an offensive spark.

Either way, I’m going under on Hemsky’s point total of 41, finishing the year with a disappointing 38 points (12 goals and 26 assists).

Injuries are a hockey player’s worst enemy and for Hemsky he’s experienced more than enough to last the rest of his playing days.  Will that change this season? It’s hard to say with conviction that it will, meaning it could  be another frustrating season for both Hemsky and Oilers fans.

Agree or disagree with the over/under on Hemsky?  Leave your comments below.

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