Foot Off The Gas - The Edmonton Oilers, Shots, And The Third Period

Remember this goal?

It helped set off a small brush fire on the internet about Coach Krueger’s player usage, especially in the third period.

  • Why is Yakupov getting sat on the bench for the majority of the third period?
  • Why is Mike Brown getting double shifted?
  • Why is Ryan Smyth getting double shifted out of position?

Then I got to thinking – are the Oilers worse off in the third period than the other two?  Maybe it’s my imagination.  Maybe it just looks bad.

Most of those watching the games realize that the Oilers regularly get beat on the shot clock.  But how bad was it?  Are the Oilers getting outshot worse in the third period compared to the first two?  Here’s what I found…

  •  In short, yes.  Through 29 games, the Oilers are getting outshot by an average of 5.82 shots.  Of those 5.82 shots, they’re getting outshot 2.59 in the third period alone.  In simple terms, the Oilers are allowing an average of 45% of those 5.82 shots in the third period.  That might not sound like a lot of shots, but it’s 75 more shots for Edmonton’s opponents this year in the third period alone.  
  • If the Oilers were getting outshot 2.59 shots every period, they’d average getting outshot 7.77 shots per game.
  • Overall, the Oilers are getting outshot by a margin of 977-808.  That’s 169 more shots for Edmonton’s opponents over 29 games, or just about six per game.  Over an 82 game season, that’s a difference of 478 shots.  That’s a load of shots.
  • ETC- Take away the Colorado game where Edmonton outshot the Avalanche 56-29 and the Oilers are getting outshot by an average of seven shots per game.
  • ETC – How is this team allowing more shots than last year’s team?  Or, any team in recent history for that matter?
  • 2012-13 – 33.7 (through 29 games)
  • 2011-12 – 30.7
  • 2010-11- 31.7
  • 2009-10-33.1
  • 2008-09-32.5
  • 2007-08-31.4
  • 2006-07-29.7
I don’t know if this “proves” that Krueger is changing the lines, or double shifting the fourth lines on purpose, or what the line is.  What I can tell you is that the Oilers are getting routinely outshot, and they’re getting outshot in the third period the most.

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