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Windy out here. Photo courtesy Fans-Plus.com

The Wind Machine Keeps Blowing (#JustTakeYakupov)

It gets windy this time of year.

I’ve been having fun on Twitter over the past few days comparing NHL prospects to ten speed bikes and unicycles.  Truth is if the Oilers end up with Alex Galchenyuk, or Matt Dumba, or Griffin Reinhart, or Mikael Grigorenko, they’re probably going to have fruitful NHL careers.

If you read anything regarding the Edmonton Oilers and next week’s draft, you’d think they were about to choose between leaving fifty rupees or the heart (If you have to ask, leave the rupees).

Is there a chance that the Oilers take Ryan Murray?  Sure, although I’d put it at about 1%.  Could they take Galchenyuk?  Even less of a chance.  Dumba?  Forsberg?  Reinhart?  Grigorenko?  Of course, there’s a chance.  Add up those last five names, and I think you’ll get a probability of less than 1% combined.

We’ve been at this crossroads before.

Remember along.

2010 

Taylor Hall / Tyler Seguin

I lobbied hard for Hall in this draft, although I don’t think Seguin would’ve been a terrible pick.  Be honest with yourself here, did anyone really think the team was going to pick Seguin?

No?   Kevin Lowe knew who he was going to pick.

When you listen to scouts, it was pretty much unanimous…

Kevin Lowe on drafting Taylor Hall (USA Today, 26 JUN 2010)

“listen to scouts…”  “pretty much unanimous…”

2011

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins/Sean Couturier/Adam Larsson/Gabriel Landeskog

I pulled for Adam Larsson this draft, partially because it appeared clear to me that the Oilers weren’t about to go out and sign a game-breaking defenceman.  This one was even less close than 2010.  Everyone and their brother knew that team was itching to get their claws on RNH.  Then Tambellini got to play coy for a while, saying he was “in no rush” to get RNH to the NHL.  Heck, I thought that this team might actually save up on RNH’s first year as to not light the match on his entry-level contract.

They didn’t, and up showed RNH.

2012

Nail Yakupov / everybody else.

Why should I expect anything else?  Ponder, evaluate, think, be coy, lead on, cast doubt, start the talking, trade proposal, three way deal, etc…

If he’s listening to scouts, he’s going to draft Nail Yakupov.  The only question should be what sweater number Yakupov will wear.

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Tags: Draft Nail Yakupov

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