A season recap of #40 follows after the jump.
NAME: Devan Dubnyk
DOB: 04 MAY 1986 (25)
SWEATER NUMBER: 40
2010-11 NUMBERS: 12-13-8, 2.71 GAA, .916 SV%, 2 SO
2010-11 SALARY/CONTRACT – $800,000/year, will be free agent on July 1, 2012
I admit I took Khabibulin to task on our last entry, and it’s not 100% his fault. However, when you combine his contract with his playing ability, now add his off-ice shenanigans, and you may begin to understand my frustration with the situation.
With Devan Dubnyk, I get none of that. When I hear that Devan Dubnyk is starting against Anaheim, I hear rolling waters in the background instead of jackhammers in my eardrums.
Dubnyk had a career high 12 wins in 2010-11. That’s not an eye-popping statistic, but Khabibulin had ten wins and played in a dozen more contests. Like Khabibulin, Dubnyk had two shutouts, but his save percentage is where some of the gold lies. .916. To put that into perspective, our buddy Nikolai’s SV% was .890 this past season. Devan Dubnyk is stopping 26 more shots per 1000 than Khabibulin. One could also look at that last figure and see why Dubnyk’s GAA sits at a very decent 2.71 on an Oilers team that often was fighting from behind by the end of the first.
This team has a hard enough chance winning games with Devan Dubnyk, and is an excruciatingly difficult squad to win with when Khabibulin was in net. Consider this: When Dubnyk played, the Oilers got at least a point in the standings 20 out of 35 times, or a little over 57% of the time. When Khabibulin was in net, that number dips to 14 out of 47, or just under 30%.
The Oilers have a gamer in Dubnyk. He doesn’t make a ton of cash, he’s had a pretty good year on a questionable Oilers team, and this year he’ll be playing for the contract. He hasn’t missed significant time due to injury, and at 25 years of age seems ready to have a chance to take his game to the next level. As the Oilers improve over time, it’s high time to consider Dubnyk as a potential goaltender of the future.
This of course, depends on how prospects Olivier Roy and Tyler Bunz pan out, but if you give me an opportunity to land Dubnyk for the next few years, I’m already on the phone with his agent.
Dubnyk is the silver coin in the cigar box stuffed under the bed. He’s one of the best kept secrets in the National Hockey League, and few out of Edmonton know of him. Yes, the Oilers have a whole tonne of talent up front. They’ve got ‘the future’ in Hall, Paajarvi, Eberle, Omark and whomever the starlet that the Oilers select at first overall this year will be. But, almost no matter how good your offence is, you’ve got to get better on defence, and you’ve got to have a solid ‘tender between the pipes,
2010-11 may not have been a breakout year for Dubnyk, but I’ve seen enough to know what I like. I like Dubnyk to play in about 50 games this year, but I think because of the Khabibulin contract sitting in front of him, it will be less than 40.
WHAT COULD BE
The Oilers are a little better this year, and Dubnyk continues to improve his play. He’ll get a few more starts this year, and maybe, just maybe, management might wake up long enough to see what they have here.
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